The green shift: An evaluation of Risk Analysis practice in Offshore Wind and the transfer of this practice from Oil and Gas
Master thesis
Permanent lenke
https://hdl.handle.net/11250/3016955Utgivelsesdato
2022Metadata
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- Studentoppgaver (TN-ISØP) [1468]
Beskrivelse
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Sammendrag
The “green shift” has led to a strong emphasis on producing more sustainable energy than we are currently doing today, both internationally and nationally. One of the solutions to this is presented by the Offshore Wind (OSW) energy production. Norway is exceptionally well- positioned to participate in the emergence of the industry. We have one of the highest wind resources potentials in Europe and extensive experience and knowledge of offshore expertise from the Oil and Gas (O&G) sector. Some of this experience comes from the applied risk analysis by the industry; despite the potential to produce sustainable energy, OSW operations are also linked to risks. The objective of the study is thus to “Provide an overview of the use of risk analysis by the offshore wind industry”. As few scholars previously have looked at the transfer of practice from the O&G industry, the study also aims to “Describe the impact of the O&G industry on the OSW industry as it pertains to risk analysis practices and provide some examples of what contemporary risk science can contribute to both industries' practice of risk analysis”. To create an overview of risk analysis in the OSW industry, the elements of risk assessment, risk characterisation, risk communication, risk management and policy related to risk get examined and discussed. Additionally, the use of analysis efforts in relation to the OSW operations, the analytical approach and its following methods, and the regulatory framework are presented. The study found that the industry had the same regulatory framework as the O&G industry; this is seen as both an advantage to the sector linked to the high focus on risk analysis and a disadvantage due to the NORSOK Z-013 standard consisting of highly technical petroleum language, preponement of methods that do not seem to work adequately for OSW and its focus on major accidents linked to handling hydrocarbons. The overall use of risk analysis in the OSW industry appears to be fine; however, as the industry is implied to see significant developments in the near future, the author suggests improvements to the practice as being careful in focusing on single objects in risk assessment, use both qualitative and quantitative risk assessments related to navigation risk, focus more on risk communication, develop a risk-based approach for effective maintenance and focus more on an integrated approach for risk analysis. The author also stresses the need for a new regulatory framework for OSW. However, this is currently under development by PSA. They have stated that this will be a function-based framework consisting of standards, which the author finds fruitful. About this development of standards, the author presents some results from what contemporary risk science can contribute to both industries, which were presented as applying SoK judgments in risk assessment, being careful in specifying quantities and uncertainties, and considering using (P, SoK, K) to address the uncertainty aspect related to the quantities.